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A decision analysis model of observation vs. immediate re-Intervention for asymptomatic residual fragments < 4mm following Ureteroscopic lithotripsy: a study from the EDGE Consortium

Abstract: PD16-03
Sources of Funding: none

Introduction

To assess the cost-effectiveness of observation vs. intervention on asymptomatic residual fragments less than 4mm in diameter following ureteroscopic laser lithotripsy using a decision analysis model.

Methods

:Outcomes data from a previously published analysis of residual fragments after ureteroscopic lithotripsy were utilized. A decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of initial observation of residual fragments compared to immediate intervention. Cost for the observation arm consisted of ED visits, hospitalizations, and re-interventions. The cost-analysis model extended for 3 years to account for delayed re-intervention rates on fragments of this size. Expected value calculations and sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the optimal treatment pathway based on overall cost-effectiveness.

Results

Two hundred thirty-two patients were found to have asymptomatic residual fragments < 4mm on follow-up imaging following ureteroscopic lithotripsy. There were 191 patients in the observation group and 41 in the immediate-intervention group. Decision analysis modeling demonstrated that when comparing initial observation to immediate re-intervention, the cost was $2965 vs. $4504, respectively. The difference in cost was largely driven by the fact that over 3 years, approximately 56% of patients remain asymptomatic without ED visit, readmission or re-intervention wherease 44% of patients incurred at least one of those 3 complications. This represents an approximate annual per-patient savings of $513, and $1539 over three years when observation is selected over immediate re-intervention.

Conclusions

Our decision analysis model demonstrates superior cost-effectiveness for observation over immediate re-intervention for asymptomatic residual stones < 4mm following ureteroscopic lithotripsy. The cost-savings are primarily due to a plurality of patients not requiring intervention if observed. Based on these findings, careful stratification and selection of patients may enable surgeons to improve cost-effectiveness of managing small, asymptomatic residual fragments following ureteroscopic lithotripsy.

Funding

none

Authors
Michal Ursiny
Alan Yaghoubian
Mitchell Humphreys
Hillary Brotherhood
Benjamin Chew
Manoj Monga
Amy Krambeck
Amy Krambeck
Cameron Charchenko
An Qi Wang
Roger Sur
Nicole Miller
Tracy Marien
Yui-Hui Chang
Bodo Knudsen
Courtney Yong
Brian Matlaga
Vernon Pais
Ojas Shah
Brian Eisner
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